The update would mean that you might see your schools P8 prediction increase by a maximum of approximately 3.38. But before you get too excited, it is unlikely it increase by 3.38 as it will depend:
- on your cohort’s KS2 average scaled score
- the number of students who were already below the 2022 minimum threshold (capped) value
- the number of students who are now the 2023 capped value
The minimum threshold value is used to avoid seriously negative P8 scores of individual students having a disproportionate affect on the P8 score. So if a student has a P8 of -7.06, then the higher (less negative) capped score will apply instead. The minimum threshold value allowed for a student is also dependent on their KS2 scaled scores, and has increased from by 0.03 on average.